Market CommentaryIndustrial
Coca-Cola lined up $10 billion for U.S. plants and warehouses. Tenant demand is not the underwriting.
Coca-Cola and its bottlers plan $10 billion of U.S. infrastructure through 2030 across named markets from California to New York. Corporate demand headlines help explain why industrial brokers sound confident. They do not replace the rent roll, lease terms, or submarket vacancy on the warehouse in your inbox.
David Fields Sep 24, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryIndustrialCapital Markets
Ares and PSP lined up $2.4 billion for U.S. warehouses. The JV size is not the underwriting.
Ares Real Estate and PSP Investments formed a joint venture to invest up to $2.4 billion in U.S. logistics, seeded with 14 properties and 5.2 million square feet. Institutional capacity is useful color. It is not a substitute for the rent roll, lease terms, or submarket vacancy on the asset in your inbox.
David Fields Sep 23, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
Dallas-Fort Worth apartments are on sale. The discount is not the underwriting.
Bisnow and CRE Daily report that prices for some distressed pre-1990 Dallas-Fort Worth apartments are down as much as 60 percent from peak as the region's construction pipeline slows. Strong absorption and a cheap basis do not replace the T-12, the rent roll, or the concession math in your model.
David Fields Sep 22, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
Blackstone is lining up exits from an $11 billion fund. The NAV is not the bid.
Bloomberg and Bisnow report Blackstone is exploring a secondary sale that would let some investors in a U.S. Blackstone Property Partners fund cash out. The vehicle is marked near $11 billion of net asset value. A fund mark is not the price a buyer will pay for the asset on your desk.
David Fields Sep 21, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryIndustrialCapital Markets
$12.73 billion of industrial CMBS looks fine on paper. The lease may expire first.
Trepp finds $12.73 billion of securitized industrial loans where a sole or major tenant's lease expires before the loan matures. About $3.68 billion sits inside a six-month window. Credit metrics look healthier than the broader book. The risk is timing, not current distress.
David Fields Sep 18, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital MarketsMultifamily
The Fed hiked 25 basis points. Your takeout still follows the 10-year.
The Fed raised the federal funds target 25 basis points to 3.75 percent to 4.00 percent on September 16, the first hike since July 2023. The 10-year Treasury was already above 5 percent. For fixed-rate refinance proceeds, live mortgage quotes still matter more than the overnight print.
David Fields Sep 17, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
CMBS special servicing hit a 13-year high. Current cash flow was not enough.
Trepp's August CMBS special servicing rate rose 33 basis points to 11.42 percent, the highest since February 2013. About $3.16 billion transferred across 32 loans, while only about $501 million exited. Several large loans moved while still current because maturity arrived without a clear refinance path.
David Fields Sep 16, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
Data-center CMBS is growing fast. The underwriting is not apartments.
About $17 billion of data-center CMBS has priced since early 2025, more than triple the prior two years. AAA spreads average about 165 basis points, wider than office, retail, and industrial. Investors are paying for power, cooling, and chip-cycle risk. Separate those assumptions from a broker growth story.
David Fields Sep 15, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital MarketsMultifamily
Bank multifamily delinquencies dipped. Credit losses did not.
Bank-held multifamily delinquencies eased to 1.41 percent in Q2 2026 from a 1.47 percent multi-year high. Early-stage trouble improved. Later-stage delinquencies and charge-offs rose, and median property expenses are still outrunning income. A softer credit headline is not a healthier asset.
David Fields Sep 14, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
National rents edged up. Lease-up inventory still decides your metro.
Yardi Matrix put the national advertised apartment rent at $1,773 in August, up $2 month over month and 0.4 percent year over year. That print is real. It does not tell you whether Austin, Phoenix, or your own competitive set still has a large lease-up pile competing for the same renters.
David Fields Sep 11, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
Higher mortgage rates support rental demand. They do not erase concessions.
Freddie Mac's 30-year mortgage rate averaged 6.66 percent in late August, and J.P. Morgan Asset Management says buying a home costs about 50 percent more than renting. National rental demand can stay strong while Sun Belt owners still give away free months.
David Fields Sep 9, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
Apartment permits look steady nationally. Your metro may not.
Arbor and Chandan Economics find Durham authorized 45.2 multifamily units per 10,000 residents in the first half of 2026, topping the 100 largest metros. Columbia jumped 468 percent year over year. A calm national permit print is not a local supply screen.
David Fields Sep 8, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
September's CMBS wall got smaller. The refinance math got harder.
Private-label CMBS hard maturities fall to $2.74 billion in September from $5.49 billion in August, but nearly 27 percent of the balance now carries a debt yield below 6 percent. Most of that weak book is still current. Delinquency is not the screen.
David Fields Sep 7, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
Your apartment supply forecast may be missing 750,000 units.
A Center for Public Enterprise analysis finds roughly 750,000 multifamily units entitled but not yet permitted, about $225 to $265 billion of supply that federal permit data misses. A falling-starts headline is not a full supply screen.
David Fields Sep 4, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryOffice
A 90% leased office campus can still hide the hard part.
Enverra paid $83.9 million for a 90% leased Minneapolis office campus. Occupancy is only the first question; the lease schedule, tenant credit, and renovation return are the real work.
David Fields Sep 3, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
San Francisco rents jumped nearly 11 percent. That is not the Western market.
RealPage's West update shows San Francisco near 11 percent rent growth while West Class C fell 2.4 percent and Class A rose 2.5 percent. LA rents are down 1 percent. A Bay Area print is not a Phoenix, Salt Lake, or Class C growth case.
David Fields Sep 2, 2026 6 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
More CRE credit is coming. That is not easier underwriting.
Regulators are narrowing bank exams and have proposed cutting large-bank capital requirements. That may free CRE lending capacity, but it does not loosen property-level underwriting.
David Fields Sep 1, 2026 6 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
August rents rose. That doesn't mean rent growth is back.
Apartment List's August report showed rents up 0.1 percent, but still down 0.8 percent over the year. Here is why a national print is not a rent-growth case for your deal.
David Fields Aug 31, 2026 6 min read
Market CommentaryCapital Markets
July hit a record $74.4 billion. Most of your market didn't.
July's $74.4 billion in CRE sales was the strongest since 2005, but nearly half was data centers. Set those aside and the market barely moved, and apartment sales fell 16 percent.
David Fields Aug 28, 2026 6 min read
Market CommentaryCapital MarketsMultifamily
Liquidity is back. Your multifamily bid still has to survive the T-12.
JLL says liquidity is back and bidding is the strongest in a year. But multifamily is the weakest sector in that same report, and a slow first read of the numbers is how you lose the deal.
David Fields Aug 27, 2026 7 min read
Market CommentaryMultifamily
The Multifamily Buying Window Is Opening, Here's the Data
New multifamily deliveries have fallen 46% from peak. LA sits at 26.3% supply overhang; Houston is already at 12.7% and falling. The Sunbelt markets that looked overbuilt 18 months ago are now backed by permanent, high-wage anchors. Capital markets haven't caught up yet.
David Fields Mar 23, 2026
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